Wednesday, November 27, 2013

I smell 2014 skunk

News from that right wing Republican media bastion, CNN:
A new CNN/ORC International poll indicates a dramatic turnaround in the battle for control of Congress in next year's midterm elections.

Democrats a month ago held a 50%-42% advantage among registered voters in a generic ballot, which asked respondents to choose between a Democrat or Republican in their congressional district without identifying the candidates.

That result came after congressional Republicans appeared to overplay their hand in the bitter fight over the federal government shutdown and the debt ceiling.

But the Democratic lead has disappeared. A new CNN/ORC poll indicates the GOP now holds a 49%-47% edge.
The Democrats saw an 8 point lead evaporate into a 2 point deficit* in a month.  Gosh, why might that be?
The 10-point swing follows a political uproar over Obamacare, which included the botched rollout of and controversy over insurance policy cancelations due primarily to the new health law.
And which of those is likely to get fixed in the next ten months? 

Fortunately for the Democrats, there's the Greatest Orator Ever to come up with a plausible explanation why 90 Million voters are losing their employer-provided insurance plans 3 months before the elections:
My best friend's sister's boyfriend's brother's girlfriend heard from this guy who knows this kid who's going with the girl who saw Ferris pass out at 31 Flavors last night. I guess it's pretty serious.
Yeah, I guess it's pretty serious.  As Sarah Palin might say, you betcha.  So what's the over/under on when absolute stinking panic breaks out in the Democratic ranks?  My guess is six weeks, after most Democrats have their constituents rip them a new orifice over the holiday recess.

* Full disclosure: I haven't read the poll details.  Lots of ways for someone to play games with sampling percentages and the wording of questions.  Given CNN's track record of supporting every Republican no matter how evil and trashing every Democrat no matter how virtuous, no doubt the Democrats are comfortably in the lead.  No need to panic, Donks.  Go back to sleep.  All is well.


Jester said...

While I agree with you on the panic, we keep seeing him going against his own mandates and law he had passed by delaying key provisions of it, just enough to get though election cycle times.

parascribe said...

Polls are great but they really reflect how fraud and stupidity tend to swing elections.

parascribe said...

That should have been "rarely" reflect.

Anonymous said...

Makes no difference he who controls the Diebold corporation controls the election.
Ban voting machines NOW.

Eagle said...

That's "Greatest Orator Ever™". Don't forget the trademark symbol. Ya don't wanna get in trouble with the Most Transparent Government Ever™, do ya?

Archer said...

I pointed out elsewhere, the dramatic shift is half the story, and the other half is unlikely to be reported:

Undecided/unknown/don't-care responses were cut in half (8% to 4%), which could indicate that ObamaCare is polarizing the country, and could eventually result in an even larger shift.

That is, if the GOP could get off its collective @$$ and field some viable (read: electable) candidates. (I'm not holding my breath.)