Sunday, December 12, 2010

Double Down

Suppose you're a Big Shot climate scientist.  You're calling 2010 the warmest year on record (or in the top three, or whatever).  It's hot hot hot.  Oh noes!  Thermageddon!

There's only one little problem.  Record cold has descended across large parts of North America and Europe - indeed, this has been going on for some time now: the winter of 2009-2010 seems to be about as cold as ever seen in the Northern Hemisphere.  People are starting to look at you like you're the crazy uncle in the attic.  You know they have a choice of believing you or their lying eyes, and you think you know which way that wind is blowing.

So what do you do?  Well, if you're NASA's Dr. James Hanson, you say the same thing again, only louder:

The cold anomaly in Northern Europe in November has continued and strengthened in the first half of December. Combined with the unusual cold winter of 2009-2010 in Northern Hemisphere mid-latitudes, this regional cold spell has caused widespread commentary that global warming has ended. That is hardly the case. On the contrary, globally November 2010 is the warmest November in the GISS record.

Figure 2(a) illustrates that there is a good chance that 2010 as a whole will be the warmest year in the GISS analysis. Even if the December global temperature anomaly is unusually cool, 2010 will at least be in a statistical tie with 2005 for the warmest year.
Click through to see Figure 2(a), which takes turns the Thermageddon! knob up to 11, or you could just watch this to understand how he got his results.

It's poetry in motion
She turned her tender eyes to me
As deep as any ocean
As sweet as any harmony
Mmm - but she blinded me with science
"She blinded me with science!"
And failed me in Climatology

Can I just say - as a taxpayer - that I'd really like a higher quality of nonsense from my tax dollar?


NotClauswitz said...

What a putz, it's only an "anomaly" if he says so?

libertyman said...

I guess I don't understand why a fraction of a degree variation in world temperature is important. And why carbon is so bad, after a few bazillion years. When science is coupled with politics -- you get Political Science! And we know where Poli Sci majors end up.