Coastal "Elites" and Wannabes
Perhaps more than any, this was Obama's natural support group. The people that are impressed with things like the Harvard Law Review naturally gravitated to Obama. A different (although touchy) way of describing this group is SWPL. SWPL types love African American Presidents of the Harvard Law Review, for example.
This group is at risk now. Their motivation is feeling superior to everyone else - Smart Uber Alles is their watch word - but they harbor a terrible fear: they have a huge inferiority complex when it comes to Europe. Remember all the "Thank God Obama was elected; now I don't have to apologize to everyone in Europe anymore" clap trap that we heard in 2008? Well guess what the Europeans are saying about Barry?
AFP - A Syrian caricature shows US President Barack Obama smile and pluck the petals of a daisy, as he wonders, "Should I bomb? Or shouldn't I bomb?"This is only the beginning. Obama's foreign policy is a disaster, and will infuriate Europeans. The not-so-smart ones will be mad because a weaker America will force them to spend more on their own defense as the world becomes more dangerous. The smart ones will be mad because they (rightly) perceive that their influence over the American SWPL types gives them actual power - by getting the USA to act in their interest. A weakening America weakens them. Get used to apologizing for our idiot President next time you're in Klosters, yuppies.
As Obama delays a strike against President Bashar al-Assad's regime thought imminent just over a week ago, Syrians on both sides of their civil war are resorting to black humour, sharing jokes and cartoons via mobile phone and the Internet.
After saying he had the authority to act on his own to strike Syria for its deadly use of chemical weapons near Damascus on August 21, Obama then referred the matter to Congress for a vote.
Now, with the prospects of a quick congressional vote diminishing and Obama cautiously welcoming a Russian initiative that would see Assad hand over his chemical arsenal, an imminent decision by the president is even less likely.
That apparent hesitation to act has given both pro- and anti-Assad Syrians a field day.
One Syrian posted a picture of Obama on Facebook with a biting caption that reads: "When Congress gives me the green light to strike, I will ask my wife Michelle and my in-laws. If they say it's alright, I'll go ahead!"
The Unions are mad because Obamacare will kill their health care plans. These were won through hard negotiations with Management (in other words, actual union work) and now the Democrats are going to tax them into oblivion. Unions are all about pocketbook issues with their members, and while the Union Management will certainly back the Democrats, rank and file will (justifiably) wonder just what they're getting from all this "political influence".
George W. Bush got a big boost after 9/11, as "Security Moms" saw actions they interpreted as protecting them and their families. Bush lost these votes in the aftermath of his incompetent response to hurricane Katrina, as his perceived incompetence led them to think that when a disaster strikes, he's an empty suit.
Obama won women by a significant margin. As he is seen as lurching from one knee jerk policy to another, he turns this demographic off just like Bush did.
None of these groups are likely to start registering Republican anytime soon, but each is taking a hit where it hurts thanks to Obama's policies. Whether it's SWPL types and their vanity, or Union workers looking at after tax pay, or women wondering whether their families will be safe, each group will be less enthusiastic about the Democratic Party in general and Obama in particular. This should be a testable prediction: we should see lower turnout in each of these groups in the elections next year that we would expect in a normal off-year vote. It doesn't have to be a big reduction - even a 5% drop in these groups will make an enormous impact. Demoralization will be the norm.
2013 has been a disaster for Obama, with major losses in gun control (a fight he didn't have to pick) and now foreign policy. If this continues (and according to this analysis, accelerates) in 2014, then Obama will have negative coat tails (as in fact he had last year). All this spells lame duck. It just started.