Thursday, February 14, 2019

From the Department of Dodgy Climate Statistics

This is hilarious:
Looking at short trends in the global surface temperature data, the analysis shows that global temperature has not increased under Republican presidents, only Democrats.

There's an old saying in statistics that if you can use three variables you can derive an elephant, and if you have four variables you can make him dance.  I posted almost exactly ten years ago about dodgy stats in climate science.  What's funny about this is the same folks who would have disputed the term "dodgy" in that post would absolutely use the term here.

1 comment:

SiGraybeard said...

That's some wonderful spurious correlation stuff right there.

Climate science is almost as bad as food science studies. We call them "he who" studies because they're always things like, "he who eats red meat is 25% more likely to get jock itch" or "he who eats less than five servings of fruitsandvegetables a day is 13% more likely to have his nose fall off".

What if the false adjustments to the temperature record were stripped out? Would the Red/Blue pattern reverse?