Big Country has a must-read post up. Go read it now, then come back for my thoughts. In it he lays out evidence that there is a three way power struggle going on between the Intelligence Community, the Pentagon, and the White House. Peter adds some thoughts as well.
It reminds me of the last few years of Tsarist Russia: a war that was going poorly, indecisive leadership at the top that had no real idea what the citizens of the realm actually thought, and a fabulously corrupt and incompetent set of ministers who were more interested in looting the treasury than, you know, running their ministry.
And as to that last item, take a look at Joe Biden's cabinet (courtesy of J.Kb at Miguel's place). It's deja vu all over again. The last thing on any of these folk's mind is good governance.
And so, to BCE's post at the top. The Biden Administration sure as shootin' ain't where the smart money is going to bet. And so, on to the second of the three he calls out, the Dot Mil. There are huge problems in our military, the biggest I've seen since the Vietnam days. In a very disturbing way, the pathology is very similar: the senior officers give commands to a sullen and hostile enlisted force. Back in the dark days of the '70s we had flag officers like Zumwalt (Navy) and Creech (TAC) who were able to reinstil discipline. It sure doesn't look like the Perfumed Princes of the Pentagon are up to Zumwalt's (or Creech's) level.
And so I don't think that the smart money will bet on the Dot Mil, either.
So the Last Org Standing likely will be the Intel Community. Heck, they already successfully overthrew a previous President, and guaranteed they have dirt on most of the players in Washington (Generals Petraeus and Flynn could not be reached for comment).
There really are only two questions. First, how long will this take to play out? The longer it goes on, the more damage the Republic takes (both externally and internally). I can't say I'm optimistic that this will get sorted out soon.
Second, the Intel Community will want to rule from the shadows. They are not Front Men - the acronym of one of the Three Letter Agencies was said to be "Never Say Anything". Quite frankly, Joe Biden and Kamala Harris are the perfect empty suits for the Intel Community to stand up as "leaders" of the Republic - as they did last November. The folks at Langley must be steaming mad that Biden isn't staying in his lane. How this will play out is unknown, but unlikely to be pleasant for Joe, "Doctor" Jill, or Kamala.
Czar Nicholas came to a bad end in a basement in Yekaterinburg, along with his entire family. Will our Checkists go this route to let the rest of Washington know they need to stay in their lanes, or will there still be more subtlety? The nation wonders.