Wednesday, September 15, 2021

Fed.Gov: Summer of 2021 was hotter than the Summer of 1936

This may seem like an innocuous statement, but this all actually encapsulates the Climate Bullshit perfectly.  First, the government's statement:

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) confirmed in a new report that the average temperature during this summer for the contiguous U.S. was hotter than the Dust Bowl in the 1930s.

The meteorological summer between June 1 to Sept. 1 averaged 74F for the U.S., or 2.6 degrees warmer than the long-term average. NOAA said, "this technically exceeds the record heat of the 1936 Dust Bowl Summer, but the difference is extremely small (less than 0.01 of a degree F)."

Remember the Dust Bowl?  John Steinbeck and Henry Fonda sort of made it memorable:

1936 is the year of record heat in the United States.  There's a reason that the midwest dried up and blew away that summer:

You want to see a real heat wave?  Look at July 1936.  Eleven States set high temperature records that stand to this day.  That Wikipedia page is a little shifty on this, trying to hide the decline in record temperatures.  You'll see an asterisk next to South Dakota, which the Wiki page says means Also on earlier date or dates in that state.  So what was that earlier date for South Dakota?  July 1936.

Oh, and three more States set high temperature records the next month, August 1936.  That makes 14 out of the 50 States suffered record high temperatures in the summer of 1936. That's almost 30% of the States.

NOAA (the Fed.Gov's weather bureau) said that this summer was hotter than that.  Oooooh kaaaaay.  So riddle me this, WeatherMan: how many States set temperature records this summer?  One.  Washington State set a record high on June 29.

Not fourteen.

So how does NOAA get off saying that 2021 was hotter than 1936?  Data adjustments:

The data have two components: the raw measurements themselves, and a set of adjustments.

Adjustments are made for a bunch of reasons: time of observation adjustments (you didn't take a reading at exactly the same time each day), environmental changes, weather station site relocations, urbanization, etc.

An interesting question is how much of the 20th century's temperature change is due to adjustments? As it turns out, the answer is all of it.

This chart shows the before-adjustment and after-adjustment temperatures for the 20th century, super imposed. All of the warming is due to adjustments, rather than raw data.  Almost all of the adjustments are for readings after 1970.

Take a look at the blue (unadjusted) line in the middle of the chart.  You know, at the peak.  That's the Dust Bowl heat wave of 1936.  Now look at the far right, how the data shift down (unadjusted) and up (adjusted).

How do you make 2021 hotter than 1936?  Change the data.  Older temperatures are adjusted downwards, and newer temperatures are adjusted upwards.  Presto - Global Warming Climate Change Climate Emergency!

Now all of this is no doubt full of Science® and all that, but if you get a whiff of bullshit, you're not the only one. You know what data don't get adjusted? Records. 1936 set 14 records, 2021 set only a single one.

That's some righteous Science®, right there. But hey, no doubt Climate Scientists are well compensated for their work, if they produce the Approved Results.


Old NFO said...

Those adjustments are all 'political' in nature...

ProudHillbilly said...

People need to understand that the Prime Directive for every government agency is to stay employed. Hopefully with a bigger budget than last year.

SiGraybeard said...

Watts Up With That is running a piece that all five temperature datasets show that the "July of '21 is the hottest July evah!" hype is alarmist nonsense. Including NOAA's own dataset.

New agency letterhead, "NOAA: We're not just liars, we're bad liars."

1chota said...

There were not 50 states in 1936. Sigh.

B said...

Plus one would expect that at least SOME of the "adjustments" for current data would be downward...but none are. Zero.
Ferinstance. One NOAA weather station I am familiar with used to be in a rural setting, at the edge of an airport and at the edge of a blueberry field. Nearest road was a half mile away, the runway was at least a quarter mile away.
Now there is no blueberry field, there is industry less than a quarter mile west (so that waste heat blows across the weather station) and there are roads within several hundred feet. One might wonder what that does to the temp measurements. But they are NOT adjusted downward......

Beans said...

When I moved to Gainesville, FL, in 1985, that year the last two weeks of August were 99-102 degrees at the hottest time of the day. Taken on my porch, covered by trees and next to a pool that served as a heat-sink.

This year? One stinking day over 95 degrees... it got to 96. Whoooo...

Lying bastides.

libertyman said...

I am not a scientist, but when you "adjust" data, it seems to me it is no longer data.

McChuck said...

Here in Ohio, we had only a handful of days this year that reached 90 degrees. It never went above 95. I remember back in the 1980's, when it routinely hit the hundreds in July and August.

Sabre22 said...

AAAAAHHHH Yes the Adjusted data Ploy. All I know is we have NOT had a day of triple digit temperatures for years. So apparently they have not been able to adjust the temperature to account for that. An aside they now want to make adjustments to satellite temperatures as well.

Gerry said...

Maybe someone should remind NOAA that it was lack of rain as well as heat that causes dust bowls. How was rainfall this year?

Ours is with in 1" of the running average.

Bear Claw Chris Lapp said...

All of the above but, "There's a reason that the midwest dried up and blew away that summer:". Land was plowed up on a grand scale with the latest technology, the tractor, the drought came then the winds came and wind breaks, good farming practices and such were not used at the time.