We may be in for an actual reassessment by the Left. Right now, it's so folded in on its current set of canalized thought patterns that intellectually it's awfully weak. A huge Tea Party rallies against the Obama Agenda? Must be racist. Delaware Senate candidate gaffes? Must be an idiot. Woman works hard, and makes it in the political world without inheriting power from her rich husband? Palin Derangement Syndrome.
All of this is pretty disappointing for a group that fancies itself smarter than the rest of us. And while they typically do have a sort of book learning intelligence, their education has generally been so hollowed out by a Politically Correct curriculum that they can't think effectively. As Paul Marks said:
The function of a university (as explained by Gramsci and Marcuse) is to produce minds indoctrinated with 'progressive' thought - so indoctrinated that any ideas that are hostile to the cause will be rejected by them (without consideration) ...And so November is going to be a shock to them. Just two years after their Grand Ideological Triumph, they'll be forced to stare into the Abyss, and grapple with the realization that their Grand Ideological Triumph wasn't. That what they've been assuming for years (decades, really) simply isn't in touch with reality. That rather than being the Vanguard of society, they've wandered well and truly into the wilderness.
Some - perhaps most - won't, of course. They'll console themselves with visions of the Tea Party cannibalizing the Republican party, and dream that just a better PR campaign - repackaging old wine in new bottles - will be all it will take to get them to victory. These are the second rate intellects, and we can ignore them. They'll keep doing the Old Thing, thinking the Old Thoughts, and so will keep losing.
But I think that there are some sharp minds on the Left, and that some of these will stare into that Abyss, and will realize that public school indoctrination and a monopoly of the MSM will no longer win the nation's hearts and minds. They'll realize that the size of this defeat means that the country did not sweep Barack Obama to power because they bought the whole leftist agenda. They'll realize that the size of the defeat means that the old coalition of Unions, Public Employees, (some) minorities, and radical feminism couldn't stave off a crushing electoral loss. They'll realize that there is a massive distrust of government, and that better spin is simply throwing gasoline on the flames.
Some of these folks will start to reassess their first principles. For the first time since at least Daniel Patrick Moynahan, we will see actual Intellectuals emerge on the left.
It's not at all clear what this will look like, or what form it will take. However, there are two factors that will be absolutely core to any successful movement, and which are explicitly "Open Source" in nature, and being used explicitly by the Tea Parties*:
Decentralization. Right now, the Left is married to a pseudo-Stalinist giantism. Big Environment, Big Labor, big, organized, hierarchial, top-down. The Tea Party will be instructive, at least to the smarter leftists, who will remember that the big wins of the 20th Century came from disorganized, grass roots, bottoms up movements. While the current Big Left excels at "astroturf" movements (fake grass roots), the smart ones will recognize the power of the bottoms up approach.
Transparency. The Tea Party movement would never have gone anywhere if it didn't have a small set of simply ideas that resonate with huge numbers of people. The Left doesn't have this - what they have is a shopping cart of issues that motivate favored constituencies that have provided a Top Down "New Soviet Man" set of "industrial" political power. Because of this, the Left has lost the battle of ideas - all of the interesting intellectual thought has been on the Right for more than a couple of decades. So this is where to look for the Renaissance of the Left.
I can't for the life of me predict which ideas will emerge from the debate that will start to occur here. But I expect that what we'll see is an assault on the institutions of Political Correctness from within the Left - Campus Speech Codes, cries of "racisism" and "sexism", even the denigration of "Dead White Males". This is the "shopping cart" of issues, which are all hurting the Left now, and the smarter Leftists will see that. This will be a Young Turk rebellion that will gain traction with a younger generation sick of the ossified thought control imposed by their elders.
The current Organs Of The Left will be horrified, and will try to crack down; maybe the correct analogy isn't a Renaissance, but rather a Reformation and a subsequent attempt at Reaction. But the Internet serves the role of the Printing Press, and there'll be no jamming the signal.
Sadly, whatever emerges from this process will be no friend of small government libertarianism. But it will be intellectually vigorous, and this will be in great contrast to the current institutional left. It will find a way - by trial and error - to tap into the vein of American populism. How dangerous this will be is anyone's guess.
* This article on the Tea Parties is the smartest thing on the subject that I've seen. Thanks to Too Old To Work, Too Young To Retire for the pointer.
6 comments:
Uhhh.... Borepatch, did somebody spike your morning coffee? You expect liberals to learn from defeat? They didn't learn anything from 1994. They didn't learn anything from 2002. What makes you think they're going to learn anything from the alleged whipping that we expect and hope them to receive in six weeks?
There may in fact be some sharp minds on the Left, but they aren't the ones in control, any more than the handful of sharp minds on the Right are in control of the Republican Party. Those sharp-minded Lefties will try to argue for a re-evaluation, sure, but the Left power structure won't listen. Why would they? They never have before. And keep in mind that until this great conservative counterrevolution actually accomplishes something concrete against liberalism, there is no real reason for liberals to re-evaluate. What do they care if they lose the majority in Congress for a term? They still have Barry Lackwit occupying the White House, and enough Senators to filibuster any bill they don't like. They run the cultural dialogue through their control of the media. They can sit back and watch while the fragile R majority flails itself to death trying to revive the economy, then in two years they'll say "Look, those damned Republicans had a chance and they failed. We can do better." And then they start pushing their socialist agenda again.
If the left were to do all the things that you specify, they would stop being the left. They would in fact probably go back to being the Democrats that middle class voters used to support. Sadly, they won't because they can't. Their power is based on their coalitions with feminists, environmental terrorists, BIG labor, and so on. The goals of those factions won't change.
What might happen is that less leftist Democrats will defect and migrate towards the Tea Party movement. Although I doubt that will really happen.
Wolfwalker and TOTWTYTR, this will take a long time, and quite frankly will be an insurgency. A whole bunch of the current Establishment Left will see this as hurting the team, and try to quash it.
However, the 1970s Democrat coalition is out of gas, and the difference between the 2008 and 2010 elections will show that.
People are going to start thinking about what it is to be on the left, and the Internet will make it impossible to jam that signal. Ultimately, I expect the left to emerge stronger from this, but think it will take 15 years.
And like I said, the New Left will also be hostile to small government liberty.
All this is predicated upon the Socialist losing in November. As with all Socialist they will NOT give up power peacefully. Cynic that I am I fully expect:
1. Voter intimidation (they got away with it in Philly, thank you Mr. Holder)
2. Voter fraud on a scale to bring all results into question. Left will argue any GOP/TEA victory is a result of "irregularities" and since they're the ones who manufactured the irregularities ...
3. The Media will have plenty of "facts" to prove the elections were improper.
4. The current Congress will be maintained until "fair elections" can be guaranteed.
Oh dear, I think I just out Derbyshired Derbyshire.
Stretch, there's no doubt that some (particularly in the Administration) will want to do precisely what you suggest. However:
1. Even Nixon ultimately listened to cooler heads.
2. A million people in the streets will be nothing compared to the reaction to your scenario. Right now the Tea Parties are peaceful protests against a perceived illegitimate government. Boy, howdy - I can't imagine what things would be like if the Democrats try a Coup d'Etat like that.
You gotta believe that when they are reaching back to the defunct Ehrlich mentality and demonstrably false prognosis of 1973, that they are truly out of gas.
The Ehrlichs haven't been right about anything since getting tenure at Stanfoo byt scaring the White People.
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