Friday, December 19, 2025

Reports of the GOP's demise have been exagerated

We are swimming in reports of how badly the Republicans are going to do in next year's election (no links because I'm lazy but these are a dime a dozen if you look).  I disagree.

In general, mid-term elections favor the party out of power.  This is true so often that it is almost considered a law of nature, particularly during a President's second term.  What you don't ever see is anyone ask why do voters reject the party in power in the mid-terms? There's quite a simple answer.

Fatigue.

The voters have had some time to get used to the Administration and starts to tire of the typical amount of scandal, incompetence, and general dum-assery that any administration accumulates.

That's not at all what we see today.  The main focus of the Trump 47 administration has been border security, deporting criminal illegal aliens, economic growth, and lower inflation.  There are remarkable results for all of these, despite the legacy media's frantic efforts to hide them.

Each of these are 80% issues - i.e. the issues all get 80% support in polls.

I would go so far as to say that the voter fatigue is on the other foot.  It's the Democrats who spent the last four years stumbling through a morass of dumb-assery.  And who are all on the 20% end of the issues that voters care about.

Voters have short memories but remember that Trump has only been back in office for 11 months and has remarkable achievements - achievements that for the previous four years the legacy media said were impossible to achieve.

The polls for the Democrats are a dumpster fire.  There's a reason for this.  Action, reaction. 

What is particularly ironic is that now it's basically proved that the 2020 election was stolen from Trump. If the Democrats in Fulton County hadn't done this, Trump 46 would have bumbled through a second term with his appointees working with the Deep State to undercut him - just like his 47 term.  Instead, they gave him four years to plan this remarkable turnaround.

Sure, he still grates on a lot of people, but at the end of the day most voters will go with what's working for them.  They got plenty of pretty promises from Biden, promises that never panned out.

Donald Trump has an ability to reverse the laws of gravity, and mid-term voter fatigue will be just another example of this. 

2 comments:

Antibubba said...

You must be living in a different American than I, because I've not seen these benefits.

JPD said...

Antibubba,
You must live in a cave. Prices are definitely down, gas and groceries. Next, in my field (commercial construction), we are buried in work. Hiring is up, hard to find experienced workers is our biggest issue.