Three months ago I wrote about how Joe Biden was on the receiving end of a Preference Cascade:
A Preference Cascade is when a large portion of the population begins to realize - despite relentless government and/or media propaganda - that a lot of other folks think like they do and that the propaganda is, well propaganda. This is almost always catastrophic for The Powers That Be, because Preference Cascades tend to accelerate. As this progresses, formerly reliable underlings begin to think that TPTB are going to lose, and start to refuse to stick their necks out to protect the current order.
It's one thing to stuff ballot boxes when you think that everyone on your side is on board and your guy is going to win - and any potential investigation will be done in the most slipshod manner. It's quite a different thing when you wonder just how many of the guys on your side are actually going to go through with this, and if the other guy wins will you be facing 20 years in Club Fed.
At the extreme, the security services join the preference cascade. They smell an emerging winner and want to be on side when that happens. At this point, things get pretty grim for TPTB.
And so it turned out to be, with a Palace Coup that forced Slow Joe from the race and handed the nomination to Kamala Harris. She rode a carefully orchestrated media campaign to some level of acceptance for a while, but the last couple of weeks have been a disaster for her, and the next two look to be worse.
It's a Preference Cascade in action, with each day adding new evidence to the fact that the country is in the process of rejecting her. Consider:
Via Lawrence, Trump is on track to take every battleground state. Lawrence also discusses Harris' disastrous Fox News interview and how 60 Minutes had to (deceptively) edit her interview with them. It's hard to come to a conclusion other than that she's a dope, and the country seems to be coming to that conclusion. The average of the polls show Trump winning each of these:
All she knows is to play the race and gender card. It isn't working at all. Obama even came out lecturing Black men on how they were all misogynistic or something - and he got scorched for his trouble. Even The View disagreed with Obama on this.
Blogger Ann Althouse looks at the cries of misogyny from the New York Times and doesn't buy it:
If Kamala Harris were a man, she would not have been chosen for Joe Biden's Vice President, and if she were not Vice President, she would not have been the one that the nomination that was stolen from him got handed to. She wouldn't be anywhere near the presidency.
Harris knows this and her people know this. The finger pointing in the campaign has begun. Democratic Senators are campaigning on their support for Trump.
Everything is breaking Trump's way as the majority of the undecided voters decide that she's a Dimwit. This is a Preference Cascade in action - despite the media gaslighting, despite Google and Facebook pushing Harris and shadow banning Trump, despite deceptively edited TV interviews, people are deciding that their gut feeling is the same as millions of other people's. They're realizing that they're not alone - and in fact are in the obvious majority - and are now no longer afraid to say this.
And potential political allies are slowly moving away from her. If we can see high profile ones like Senators, there are a whole lot more in the party doing it too. The number of Democrats who will put their necks on the chopping blocks is dropping like a rock.
My sense is that the whole thing is over, and this will be a landslide as the country shows that you can't beat something with nothing. Sure there will be a cheat, but it won't be as big or as blatant as in 2020 because the people you need to pull that off are already second guessing their support for her. How many will be willing to go to jail to cheat for someone that literally nobody has ever voted for? Each day, that list gets shorter.
22 comments:
They believe that they can cheat like last time and nothing will be done. I expect Trump to be ordered to Rikers Island by a New York Judge in the next few Days.
Linked.
Skyler, I disagree. The Judge sees the Preference Cascade just like multiple Democratic Senators see it. Is Kamala's floundering campaign the hill he really wants to die on? Signs point to "no"
;-)
I dunno which of you guys are right? BP is right… there has been a tectonic shift in the Donk party. A lot of them are defecting in droves like Tulsi.
But Skyler is right too. There’s a lot of those guys for whom - if the cheating doesn’t work… ya gotta cheat harder!!! And like Kamala… they’re dumb as a post and won’t stop until they’ve had their own Ceaușescu moment. They are so disconnected that they’re still pushing billions to the ‘Kraine and Israel when their own people at home are dying in natural disasters and the aftermath of them.
Problem is that even if Trump wins, he still has to deal with the swamp..
And nothing less than a full blown Soviet/Nazi purge will straighten that mess out…
I think that Elon Musk will be a Mass Extinction Moment for a lot of the Deep State
I'm more concerned with the booming business of printing money.
Currently our debt service is higher than the taxes taken in SO.
It's amazing that the rest of the world even takes our Debt anymore. Some are doing a slow sell off Y2Y and economic collapse seems to ah Trump any political party.
idk, but they're panicking. kamalface is telling more lies, the atlantic magazine planted a fake news piece, et al. more "trump's a nazi, trump's a fascist, trump's evil" all day long full court press. nobody, well few, are buying any of it.
Regarding the judge, I wonder if/how much Soros has offered.
The level of cheat IS going to come into play, no question. The only issue is how big it will be!
Not entirely sure here as many of the landslides and the like you've called have been entirely wrong. You seem to think the American electorate functions on a sane basis, the level of cheat is not great and quite honestly you have your information straight. I'll highlight the level of cheat again.
The "Level of Cheat" is bound to become a common-usage term very soon, I fear. It's going to have to be EPIC for The Ho to win.
As someone else as already said:
"Harris is Monica Lewinsky with more ambition!"
BP,
From your lips to God's ears.
I hope you're correct, but it's a very cautious optimism.
I believe nothing until it's certified, and Trump has been sworn back into office.
Even then, it isn't over, it's just the end of the beginning.
I am still preparing for the zombie apocalypse, nonetheless.
This isn't over until we see our enemies destroyed, the few survivors driven before us, to the accompanying lamentations of their women.
And not metaphorically.
The Voting Dead are immune to preference cascades.
You obviously haven't been paying much attention to the economies of the rest of the world then. The TLDR of it is everyone else is in a worse situation so the US is still the safest place to put your money. The entire world's economy is about to go off a cliff but the US is far more likely to be able to recover.
Never underestimate what the communist left will do to remain in power. And since many of them face the very real prospect of prison..or worse...if Trump wins they have a LOT of incentive to double down on the fraud. Expect it. In massive quantities.
OTOH, he might decide to send Trump to jail even if he wins the election and the deep state cabal offers the judge a spot on the expanded Supine Court(not a mis-spelling).
I still have my doubts as to whether Trump will(should) win. IMHO there are several obstacles he has to overcome:
1. Illegals voting
2. Women voting overwhelmingly for abortion rights
3. I really doubt that despite all his pandering, more than 5% of blacks will vote for him.
4. My own community, the white collar professional community, is overwhelming pro Kamela(or at least her handlers). Despite Musk's endorsement, I doubt that more than 10% will vote for Trump, who is widely regarded as a Luddite(Sci-Am's endorsement of Harris is a Big Thing among my peers).
5. Christian voters who see no difference in ethics between the 2 candidates. Both support abortion, trannies and other mentally ill people, and a lot of other things.
6. I'm hearing that a lot of evangelical church leaders are telling their congregations not to bother voting, since The Rapture will be taking all believers away. Whether these leaders actually believe this remains to be seen.
7. A lot of gun owners are on the fence; Walz appeals to a lot of us Fudds, while Vance is, according to people who have encountered him, dumber than a plastic potted plant.
8. Trump's support for Israel turns off a lot of old school Repubs.
I'm on the fence myself; Musk's endorsement is the only reason I'm even considering going to vote for Trump. My potential employers and professional associations are unanimous in supporting the Dems.
Just my 2 cents...
If you check the numbers (official ones, which in this case are probably accurate), not much of our debt is foreign owned - the vast majority of it is held domestically by organizations required by law to put a portion of their assets into "safe" asset classes of which the biggest and easiest to buy and sell is Treasury bonds.
Jonathan
I hope for a landslide... I expect a squeaker, preferably for Trump but I'm not confident at this point.
I'd like to see more on the Republicans anti fraud efforts. In the last Virginia governor's race (2021), they had aggressive monitors with lawyers and judges on speed dial to prevent Dem antics and it worked. If they are doing the same thing in big cities of swing states, it could make a difference, especially if the Dems know they are doing it.
Jonathan
The real people to be afraid of, weackage, memes will be made and more nails driven in the coffin of the former republic don't even know thier names. Who is the CEO for Blackrock, just to name an obvious one. Every name you know in politics are merely pawns. The real powers don't care about cheating they are so insulated from being discovered or prosecuted. When this election becomes the shitshow, nothing will change. "Investigations" will be done, senate hearings, blah, blah, blah. One or two players will take a bow and disappear with a nice "severance" package. And more nails will be driven in the coffin of the republic formally known as the United States
All the advantage is about the same - about 1.2%. Suspicious! Also, suspiciously close to the amount of cheating.
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