Via a link from HMS Defiant (who is on quite a roll lately), this is a very interesting analysis of the war from Open Source Intelligence sources (i.e. non-classified published sources). Very, very interesting indeed.
Via a link from HMS Defiant (who is on quite a roll lately), this is a very interesting analysis of the war from Open Source Intelligence sources (i.e. non-classified published sources). Very, very interesting indeed.
6 comments:
Bless her pointed little head and weaponized Autism! She IS on point!
Let's see in a few more weeks at most if our total lack of Allies and flat running out of missile interceptors has us and or Israel using nukes, marines or declaring Mission Accomplished and leaving the area.
It took me two sittings to get through it all. Wow! Outstanding compilation and organization of information, and possibly best of all -- trustworthy.
I'm glad I wasn't the only one struggling to process so much often repeated data.
As far as trustworthy does anybody remember Iraq having Weapons of Mass Destruction as our intelligence folks and that fellow showing the UN a tiny white test tube of Iraqi "Anthrax".
Or maybe the intelligence that North Vietnam attacked a US Warship in the Gulf of Tonkin?
I could go on.
Time will tell. Meanwhile it would be nice if our "allies" stopped calling it an illegal war and actually showed up to clear that strait as Trump keeps telling them about.
Iraq did have WMDs, specifically nerve and mustard gas. They used it on the Iranians and internal dissenters. People conflated that with nukes. Bush made a big deal about nukes which caused this. To be fair, which I usually don't do with Bush, both Putin and Mubarak said publicly that their intelligence services believed they had nukes and told this to Bush personally. It is thought that France and the UK did so privately.
As I have been telling people when this comes up, it's fact number 2 that was the tipping point for the U.S. and Israel. In other sources, it has been reported that the enrichment levels for Iranian nuclear material was at 60%. That is one enrichment cycle away from being weapons grade. We acted now or accepted that Iran was going to have a nuclear weapon. We failed to act in Korea and they tested their first weapon in 2006. It is estimated N. Korea has 50 nuclear weapons currently. That same math could be applied to Iran.
It seems likely that Israel was going to launch a strike with or without us, but it is also clear that none of Iran's neighbors wanted them to have nuclear capability.
Getting past the idea that anything Pr. Trump does is bad is important to making an assessment of the importance of eliminating both the current and future threat that a nuclear Iran would pose.
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