Two and a half months ago I forecast a Trump landslide victory, 354 electoral votes to Biden's 184. I lay out why for those of you who are interested. I don't see a reason to change this prediction.
Sure, the Democrats will cheat. I don't think they can cheat this enough to change the result. Certainly Pennsylvania is at risk for industrial scale cheating; maybe North Carolina as well. But enthusiasm among Republicans is off the charts, so the amount of cheating that will be needed is higher. Also, the "shy Trump" voter syndrome is real - people have been not just verbally abused but attacked and killed for being Trump supporters; no wonder some won't talk to pollsters, family and friends about their preferences.
That also increases the amount of cheating the Democrats will have to do. I think that number is just too high for the Democrats to pull this off. What they will do is expose industrial scale levels of cheating. That will solidify voters' views of the Democratic Party for 2024 - it will be a bad moon rising for that election, too.
Sadly, I fear that I will lose a life-long friend tonight when the results are shown to be overwhelmingly for President Trump. For reasons I can't fathom, this once solid Conservative has changed into a screaming Liberal, and I doubt he will accept today's results. And I will not apologize for what I believe.
ReplyDeleteI sincerely hope you are correct.
ReplyDeleteAs for PA, this just proves the saying: There is no law, only Zuul.
Murphy, some folks just can't get past Trump's "unpresidential behavior", which sometimes sets my teeth on edge. Childish behavior has no place in the oval office.
ReplyDeleteBUT, when I put his self-congratulatory back-patting aside and actually look at what Trump has accomplished, I have to acknowledge certain truths - and those truths are far more important than his obnoxious behavior.
Multiple peace treaties with Israel (reduction in tensions in the Middle East). Significant reductions in American military interventions overseas (cutting US military deaths by over 80%). Renegotiation of unbalanced and unfair trade treaties (China, Mexico, Canada, etc). European countries finally contributing to NATO according to treaty terms. Investments in HSBCs, enterprise zones, and an actual *reduction* in tax rates for lower-earning individuals. Cutting illegal immigration by both policy changes and a wall (which is working, according to HS). Signing laws such as the Right To Try Act, the Second Chance Act, etc. Pushing the FDA out of the way to allow faster development of drugs and vaccines. And much more.
Someone once called him "an imperfect vessel". I agree. He's more than just imperfect: he can be downright offensive. Trump is a loudmouth and too often says the wrong thing. But his ACTIONS tell me that he's on the side of the average American citizen.
The old saying is "Sticks and stones can hurt my bones, but names can never hurt me".
Republicans are enthusiastic because they have a candidate to be enthusiastic about. Donks only have a place holder for a Orange Man Bad and possibly the most despicable VP candidate in American history.
ReplyDeleteMurph- sounds like your comment could have been written by me concerning my only brother; couple that with the fact that I reside in AZ. There is the other part of it for me- let's just say a really Yoko Ono vibe and let it go at that, aside from the fact that she must situational win out no matter the cost.
ReplyDeleteThey can’t cheat at the recreational level, never mind the industrial. They’re getting busted for it in real time, on video as we speak. They have rats and whistle blowers as well. The cheating will not stand up to a public legal investigation.
ReplyDeleteI think the writing’s on the wall though... Trump has to shite or get off the pot and make some arrests. You can’t run a nation like this.
I'm not betting the monkey yet but... good call.
ReplyDeleteFrom your lips to God's ear...
ReplyDeleten
@Glen - The problem is that the cheating stands. The votes are almost never undone. A few cheaters occasionally get convicted and jailed, but the bad guys normally remain in office.
ReplyDeleteStill looks like a cliffhanger to me. Trump probably wins NC and Georgia. The lead in PA is very large but Philadelphia is capable of industrial scale cheating. Even if all of this and ME2 comes to pass Trump still needs to win Michigan and I am not liking the trends there. What is out yet is Wayne County which is a stronghold for Democrats and vote fraud. If Trump could reflip AZ or flip NV both of which are mathematically possible and NV is going to be decided by the courts anyway, then MI is not needed.
ReplyDeleteLooks like its being decided by fraud right now.
ReplyDeleteStakes being what they are, there's no such thing as beyond the margin of fraud. If they have to they'll do it and dare anyone watching to do something about it.
ReplyDeleteThey don't care if everyone knows they are cheating! Nothing is EVER DONE ABOUT IT! Identify who hey are! Tell us where they live! Let us take action!
ReplyDeleteBeyond the margin of covert fraud, so they went with open fraud.
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