tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6322916946732811685.post1374994232111314278..comments2024-03-18T21:49:42.814-04:00Comments on Borepatch: The mathematics of Romney's victoryBorepatchhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/05029434172945099693noreply@blogger.comBlogger18125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6322916946732811685.post-50165730276276568272012-11-02T17:47:48.701-04:002012-11-02T17:47:48.701-04:00rofl@map. i hope you won't go suicidal on us ...rofl@map. i hope you won't go suicidal on us when obama wins and the dems keep the senate, i know how some of you right wingers can get when baby doesnt get his bottle. Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6322916946732811685.post-83778515143513161122012-09-21T17:03:19.084-04:002012-09-21T17:03:19.084-04:00 concerning party affiliations-a lot of the hard c... concerning party affiliations-a lot of the hard core leftys I know refer to themselves as independantAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6322916946732811685.post-69505178728052258502012-09-20T22:58:01.174-04:002012-09-20T22:58:01.174-04:00RWCG, the polls are D+5 when it looks like party a...RWCG, the polls are D+5 when it looks like party affiliation is R+4.3. The process of higher mathematics means that's a difference of 9.3. I rounded it up to 10, I do confess.Borepatchhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05029434172945099693noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6322916946732811685.post-7556873772940834692012-09-20T22:25:47.225-04:002012-09-20T22:25:47.225-04:00I hope you're right BP. I've got a potenti...I hope you're right BP. I've got a potentially humiliating bet on the line here. Sixhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05572583408046642437noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6322916946732811685.post-59457058486413758482012-09-20T19:42:11.637-04:002012-09-20T19:42:11.637-04:00Thought so. Food for thought, innit?Thought so. Food for thought, innit?Ian Argenthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03704336044732061128noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6322916946732811685.post-54186078705576985682012-09-20T19:39:33.629-04:002012-09-20T19:39:33.629-04:00Ian, it sure was. And then her campaign manager w...Ian, it sure was. And then her campaign manager went to work for Al Franken who surprisingly won by a similar small margin with suspicious voting patterns.Borepatchhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05029434172945099693noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6322916946732811685.post-61046264982273443102012-09-20T18:52:36.708-04:002012-09-20T18:52:36.708-04:00Wasn't it the WA governor who was voted in rec...Wasn't it the WA governor who was voted in recently by a majority well under the margin of error, with some oddities in vote handling? Ian Argenthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03704336044732061128noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6322916946732811685.post-81516004877065253442012-09-20T16:05:04.122-04:002012-09-20T16:05:04.122-04:00Interesting data point:
Obama is spending money a...Interesting data point:<br /><br />Obama is spending money airing campaign ads in Seattle. If WA is solid enough for him that he's likely to take it in November...why would I be seeing Bill Clinton's face practically every time I turn on my hotel room TV, trying to convince me to vote for his party's guy? I certainly don't see that happening at home. (Home, for me, is the part of Indiana where all our TV comes from Chicago. And of course, Obama could sodomize a goat and then set fire to a live kitten on national TV and still win Illinois.)<br /><br />I'm thinking any place where they think they have to spend this much money, they're probably going to lose.lelnethttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08600824544185328505noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6322916946732811685.post-67113265455885333862012-09-20T16:03:06.907-04:002012-09-20T16:03:06.907-04:00On the gripping hand, NJ elected Romney's youn...On the gripping hand, NJ elected Romney's younger brother from another mother (politically speaking) as Governor not 3 years back. The only thing I know from this cycle is that no one knows what's going to happen. Ian Argenthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03704336044732061128noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6322916946732811685.post-20690559747624945932012-09-20T14:47:06.316-04:002012-09-20T14:47:06.316-04:00There is a problem in your methodology, BP.
You&...There is a problem in your methodology, BP. <br /><br />You're forgetting to count the votes of dead Democrats. That will take any state and push it D+3.<br /><br />-bigdogtimc<br />/always here to QA your mistakes :)<br />//it's a joke, sonAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6322916946732811685.post-91654782347529408512012-09-20T14:00:17.061-04:002012-09-20T14:00:17.061-04:00I too have been predicting that the RomneyBot 900...I too have been predicting that the RomneyBot 9000 will whirr into office via a blowout, but Minnesota? Not a chance. We couldn't get a Republican *governor* elected in 2010 - we're not tilting toward a Republican President in 2012. Man would I LOVE to eat crow on that though.Atom Smasherhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01717946941636575857noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6322916946732811685.post-25127319161109190642012-09-20T02:52:45.142-04:002012-09-20T02:52:45.142-04:00I like your numbers, but I think it will be closer...I like your numbers, but I think it will be closer. Still a Romney win, but closer. <br /><br />It's pretty obvious that the MSM is lying to us and lying to favor Obama. <br /><br />Try as they might to make every Romney comment a "gaffe", his campaign seems to benefit from each one. Now, even a majority of Americans agree about his "government does too much" comment and the 47%. <br /><br />TOTWTYTRhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17221321904364051792noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6322916946732811685.post-86576887927995882792012-09-19T22:32:23.760-04:002012-09-19T22:32:23.760-04:00Don't forget the other two of the 52 states wh...Don't forget the other two of the 52 states when counting Obama's electoral votes.<br />TJPnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6322916946732811685.post-22902576190984016662012-09-19T20:48:31.526-04:002012-09-19T20:48:31.526-04:00I'll admit that seeing the pollsters adjusting...I'll admit that seeing the pollsters adjusting to seemingly made-up and weirdly skewed party-breakdowns has me scratching my head, until I learn more about it. But, this seems to swing the pendulum way the other way. How do you get from a result like 37.6-33.3 to saying they should sample R+9 (which you then round up to 10)? Maybe I misunderstood something here...Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6322916946732811685.post-71398770447766807662012-09-19T17:50:04.292-04:002012-09-19T17:50:04.292-04:00Murphy's law West Virginia is coal mining coun...Murphy's law West Virginia is coal mining country and they have been hit hard by Obama's policy of trying to destroy the coal industry. He will lose that one.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6322916946732811685.post-34017541433425689862012-09-19T17:48:17.960-04:002012-09-19T17:48:17.960-04:00Is this assuming the One doesn't decide to sta...Is this assuming the One doesn't decide to stay in office under some extra legal pretext.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6322916946732811685.post-36556463317120761732012-09-19T16:23:26.765-04:002012-09-19T16:23:26.765-04:00My assessment is that you should probably give Oba...My assessment is that you should probably give Obama Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania and West Virginia. These are states that can turn out the union and welfare votes and I don't see any of them going to Romney as of right now. I'd like to be wrong, but if I were putting money on the table, I'd give Obama those states and the 59 votes that go with them.<br /><br />Murphy's Lawhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17164780742334950772noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6322916946732811685.post-85991550522552452662012-09-19T15:03:34.515-04:002012-09-19T15:03:34.515-04:00Ughh. If Mittens gets elected with this type of la...Ughh. If Mittens gets elected with this type of landslide, he'll see it as a "mandate" and might go off and do something stupid. Well, something stupider than he might have done otherwise.Broken Andyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01562569871940946226noreply@blogger.com